The Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections Program Mission
The Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program's mission is to enhance the Nation's and NOAA's capability to understand, predict, and project variability and changes in Earth's climate system. MAPP’s work directly impacts or provides foundational capability for improving understanding, assessing impacts for decision making, and improving NOAA products used in mitigation and adaption. By supporting these goals, the MAPP program plays a crucial role in enabling the Nation to meet the societal challenges created by the impacts of climate variability, such as year-to-year changes in the occurrence of extremes or droughts, and longer term climate changes.
| To achieve its mission, the MAPP Program supports research and engagement activities focused on the coupling, integration, and application of Earth system models and analyses across NOAA, among partner agencies, and with the external research community. The MAPP Program supports research to advance: |
- climate and Earth system modeling technologies to improve the simulation of climate variability;
- predictions of future climate variations from weeks to decades; and
- projections of long-term future climate conditions.
|The focus areas of MAPP’s research program, which provide both direct and foundational support toward mitigating the impacts of major climatic societal challenges targeted by NOAA, can be explored in the sections below. |
U.S. citizens and businesses face unprecedented challenges resulting from variations in the climate. Our growing National infrastructure is increasingly susceptible to both year-to-year and long-term changes in climate conditions. To prepare for and understand the nature of these changes, accurate and regional-scale computational modeling of the climate system is of the utmost importance. Climate and Earth system models and derived prediction systems have become central to almost every aspect of the global change research and applications apparatus.
NOAA is motivated by the challenges facing society to improve products and services through research. Ensuring that marine resources are sustainable; understanding coastal vulnerabilities and ensuring resiliency; monitoring, predicting, and understanding droughts; and preparing for extremes -- each of these critical aspects of our socioeconomic system are directly dependent upon our improved capability to model and predict aspects of the climate system. NOAA’s MAPP Program sustains research that is critical to improving such a foundational capability.
The MAPP program achieves its mission through a targeted grants program and Task Forces organized around major programmatic research thrusts. These means allow NOAA through the MAPP program to engage the external research community on high priority research areas extending its internal research capability and sustain scientific advancements in the broad community in coordination with other agencies and institutions.
The grants program advertises annual research opportunities addressing high-priority objectives in the context of MAPP's sustained core research areas, of relevance to the Climate Goal objectives in NOAA’s strategic plan and NOAA’s targeted societal challenges. Abstracts for MAPP-funded research projects from past solicitations can be reviewed here.
- MAPP partners with the NIDIS Program to support research directed toward advancing the Nation's ability to understand, monitor and predict droughts. This research fosters improved responses to the impacts of climate on a major challenge facing U.S. citizens -- the availability of water resources.
- NCEP's Climate Test Bed (CTB), which supports the transfer of research into NOAA operational activities, partners with the MAPP program to entrain research results into NOAA products. The emphasis of this relationship is placed on testing and evaluating advances in climate modeling and prediction for operations. By supporting the transition of research into products and services, MAPP program engagement with the Climate Test Bed helps ensure that MAPP’s research outcomes ultimately make a difference in the information society receives to deal with challenges stemming from climate variability and change.
- Coordination and communication is key to optimize return on research investments, enhancing research outcomes and impacts. The MAPP Program engages in an array of activities that aim at enhancing communication and coordination within the community of funded investigators and beyond. The communication and facilitation engendered by the MAPP program’s efforts described below support NOAA’s collective fulfilment of the Climate Goal, a further demonstration of the value of competitive grants in fostering collaboration.
- The MAPP Task Forces, primarily involving funded investigators, are organized around our major ongoing research initiatives to coordinate and focus research efforts and to assist in the entrainment of research findings toward advances in relevant National and NOAA climate-related activities. More information is available, at the links below.
- MAPP hosts a monthly webinar series which provides a platform for MAPP-funded researchers to present their research to the larger community, and for the MAPP program to expose its portfolio of funded projects and strategic directions to the broader community. The webinars are advertised widely to the community of MAPP-funded investigators, NOAA laboratories and operational centers, other federal agency laboratories, and the private sector. To date, the webinar series has attracted over 800 attendees. The webinars also serve as a platform to encourage climate literacy in the public, as a portion of the series’ attendees either do not have a background in climate science or do not have expertise with a particular webinar topic.
- MAPP contributes to enhanced communications between NOAA's research labs and NOAA's operational centers charged with developing models and systems that are used for operational purposes. To this end, a meeting (GFDL-NCEP Ocean Modeling Meeting) was organized by the MAPP program and held on November 30, 2012 to discuss ocean modeling activities at NCEP and GFDL, ongoing collaborations, and future opportunities and directions. Other such initiatives may follow in partnership with the laboratories, focusing on other aspects of NOAA's modeling and prediction development efforts.
- MAPP program management participates in U.S. Global Change Research Program interagency groups (e.g. the Interagency Group for Integrative Modeling) to identify the potential for partnerships with other agencies' programs on objectives of common interest. Examples of projects that have been jointly funded by NOAA/MAPP and other agencies include the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies and the National Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Experiment (forecasts available here).
- Interagency partnerships are also fostered through the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Program, including the CLIVAR and GEWEX Programs. MAPP program management participates in the US-CLIVAR interagency group.
The Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program's mission is to enhance the Nation's capability to understand and predict natural variability and changes in Earth's climate system. The MAPP Program supports development of advanced climate modeling technologies to improve simulation of climate variability, prediction of future climate variations from weeks to decades, and projection of long-term future climate conditions. To achieve its mission, the MAPP Program supports research focused on the coupling, integration, and application of Earth system models and analyses across NOAA, among partner agencies, and with the external research community.
Download our program brochure (pdf).
The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Prediction, and Projections (MAPP) program will host a webinar on the topic of Drought Research: Improved Understanding, Monitoring, and Prediction of Drought on Friday, May 30. The announcement is provided below; you are invited to remotely join the session.