Selected Publications from the Human Dimensions of Global Change Research Program

Abbott, M. B., M. Binford, M. Brenner, and M. and K. Kelts. 1996. A 3500 14C yr High-Resolution Record of Lake Level Changes in Lake Titicaca, Bolivia/Peru. Quaternary Research 47: 169-180.

Anderson, P. and G. Weller, eds. 1996. Preparing for an Uncertain Future: Impacts of Short- and Long-Term Climate Change on Alaska: Center for Global Change and Arctic System Research, University of Alaska, Fairbanks.

Arsdol, M. D. Van. 1994. Impacts of Global Sea Level Rise on California Coastal Population Resources. In Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America. Miami, Florida.

Arsdol, M. D. Van and D. J. Sherman. 1991. A research agenda concerning population and environment relations in California with special reference to rising sea level and coastal population carrying capacity. In Environment and Population Conference, organized by CICRED, the IUSSP committee on Population and Environment and the Catholique University of Louvain-la-Neuve. Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.

Arsdol, M. D. Van, D. J. Sherman, A. Constable, J. K. Wang, and L. Rollin. 1993. Population Impact of Rising Sea Level in California. In Committee for the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP). Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxemberg, Austria.

Arsdol, M. D. Van, D. J. Sherman, A. Constable, J. K. Wang, and L. Rollin. 1995. Impacts of Global Sea Level Rise on California Coastal Population Resources. In Environment and Population Conference, ed. B. Zaba and J. Clarke. organized by CICRED, Paris, France.

Binford, M. B. and A. L. Kolata. 1996a. Climate Variation and the Rise and Fall of an Andean Civilization. Quarternary Research 47: 235-248.

Binford, M. W. 1995. Floods, Drought, Lake-Level Variation and Human Activities as Factors of Aquatic and Terrestrial Plant Distribution in the Lake Titicaca Basin, Bolivia. In Ecological Society of America Meeting. Snowbird, Utah.

Binford, M. W. and A. L. Kolata. 1996b. Environment, Culture, and Land-Water Interactions in the Andean Altiplano. In Field Museum of Natural History,19th Annual Field Museum Spring Systematics Symposium, The Andes: Dynamics of Biotic, Human and Geologic Patterns through Time.

Binford, M. W. and A. L. Kolata. 1996c. Environmental Change, Cultural Adaptation, and Land-Water Interactions in the Andean Altiplano: The Process Ecology of Long Times and Large Spaces. In Ecological Society of America Meeting. Providence, Rhode Island.

Boone, R. B., K. A. Galvin, M. B. Coughenour, J. W. Hudson, P. J. Weisburg, C. H. Vogel, and J. E. Ellis. In Review. Ecosystem Modeling Adds Value to South African Climate Forecasts. Climate Change.

Burney, D. A. 1996a. Climate Change and Fire Ecology as Factors in the Quaternary Biogeography of Madagascar. In Biogeographie de Madagascar, ed. W. Lourenco: 49-58. Orstom, Paris.

Burney, D. A. 1996b. Historical Perspectives on Human-Assisted Biological Invasions. Evolutionary Anthropology 4, no. 6: 216-221.

Burney, D. A. 1996c. Paleoecology of Humans and their Ancestors. In In East African Econosystems and their Conservation, ed. R. R. McClanahan and T. P. Young: 17-34. New York: Oxford University Press.

Burney, D. A., ed. 1997a. Theories and Facts Regarding Holocene Environmental Change Before and After Human Colonization. Edited by S. M. Goodman and B. D. Patterson. Natural and Human-induced Change in Madagascar. Washington, D.C.: Smithsonian Press.

Burney, D. A. 1997b. Tropical Islands as Paleoecological Laboratories: Gauging the Consequences of Human Arrival. Human Ecology 25: 437-457.

Butler, D. B., H. S. J. Hill, S. W. Fuller, G. Hammer, D. Hozworth, H. A. Love, H. Mienke, J. M. Mjelde, J. Park, and W. Rosenthal. 2000. Effects of Seasonal Climate Variability and the Use of Climate Forecasts on Wheat Supply in the U.S., Australia, and Canada. Forthcoming in Special Publication of the American Society of Agronomy.

Callahan, B., E. L. Miles, and D. Fluharty. 1999. Policy Implications of Climate Forecasts for Water Resources Management in the Pacific Northwest. Policy Sciences 32: 269-293.

Clark, G. E., S. C. Moser, S. J. Ratick, K. Dow, W. B. Meyer, S. Emani, W. Jin, J. X. Kasperson, R. E. Kasperson, and H. E. Schwartz. 1998. Assessing the Vulnerability of Coastal Communities to Extreme Storms: The Case of Revere, Massachusetts, USA. In Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Meeting.

Claverias, R. 2000. Conocimientos de los Campesinos Andinos Sobre los Predictiores Climáticos: Elementos Para su Verificación. In Scientific Workshop and Expert Panel on Climate Variability and Household Welfare. Puno.

Constable, A., M. D. Van Arsdol, D. J. Sherman, J. Wang, P. A. McMullin-Messier, and L. Rollin. 1997. Demographic Responses to Sea Level Rise in California. World Resource Review 9, no. 1: 32-42.

Costello, C. J., R. M. Adams, and S. Polasky. 1998. The Values of El Niño Forecasts in the Management of Salmon: A Stochastic Dynamics Assessment. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 80: 765-777.

Criddle, Keith, Mark Herrmann, Joshua A. Greenberg, and Erika M. Feller. 1998. Climate Fluctuations and Revenue Maximization in the Eastern Bering Sea Fishery For Walleye Pollock. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 18: 1-10.

Criddle, K. R. 1996. Climate Change and its Effect on the Alaska Economy. In Preparing for an Uncertain Future: Impacts of Short- and Long-Term Climate Change on Alaska Conference. Fairbanks, Alaska: Center for Global Change and Arctic System Research, University of Alaska, Fairbanks.

Easter, Cheston. 2002. Effects on Transaction Costs and Household Participation. M.Sc., University of Missouri.

Ellis, J. H. and K. J. Holmes. 1996. Potential Environmental Impacts of Future Halocarbon Emissions. Environmental Science and Technology.

Epstein, P. R. 1999. Climate and Health. Science, 1999, 347-348.

Epstein, P. R., B. H. Sherman, E. S. Siegfried, A. Langston, S. Prasad, and B. Mckay, eds. 1998. Marine Ecosystems: Emerging Diseases as Indicators of Change. Health of the Oceans from Labrador to Venezuela. HEED, Year of the Ocean Special Report, NOAA-OGP and NASA Grant number NA56GP 0623. Boston, MA: The Center for Health and the Global Environment, Harvard Medical School.

Fisher, A. and S. Rubio. 1994. Optimal Capital Accumulation and Stock Pollution: The Greenhouse Effect. Spanish Journal of Economics.

Galvin, K. A. Climate Variability and its Impact in the Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Sub-Saharan Africa. NOAA Newsletter, March 6-7, 1996, 6-7.

Galvin, K.A. 2001. African Livestock Systems and Drought: Integrated Assessment of Human Vulnerability. Nomadic, the Newsletter of the International Institute for the Study of Nomadic Civilizations.

Galvin, K. A. and C. Vogel. 1999. Users of Seasonal Forecasts. In Workshop on Users of Seasonal Forecast. Armoedsvlakte, Vryburg, South Africa.

Georgakakos, A. P., M. G. Mullusky, H. Yao, and K. P. Georgakakos. 1998. Impacts of Climate Variability on the Operational Forecast and Management of the Upper Des Moines River Basin. Water Resources Research 34, no. 4: 799-821.

Georgakakos, K. P., D. H. Bae, M. G. Mullusky, and A. P.

Georgakakos. 1995. Hydrologic Variability in Midwestern Drainage Basins: Diagnosis, Prediction, and Control. In Preparing for Global Change: A Midwestern Perspective, ed. E. Folk, G. L. Schnoor, and G. Carmichael:61-90. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: SPB Academic Publisher.

Gilles, J., S. Materer, and C. Valdivia. 2001. Re-evaluating Climate Forecasting: Lessons From Indigenous Systems. In 64th Rural Sociological Society Meeting. Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Glantz, M., M. Betsill, and K. Crandall. 1997. Preparing for El Niño: What Role for Forecasts? Environment 39, no. 10.

Hamlet, A. F. 2001 (In Press). The Role of Transboundary Agreements in the Columbia River Basin: An Integrated Assessment in the Context of Historic Development, Climate, and Evolving Water Policy. In Transboundary Challenges in the Americas, ed. Henry Dias and Barbara Morehouse.

Hamlet, A. F., D. Huppert, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2002. Economic Values of Long-Lead Streamflow Forecasts for Columbia River Hydropower. ASCE Journal of Water Resource Planning and Management 128, no. 2: 91-101.

Hammer, G. L., J. W. Hansen, J. G. Phillips, J. W. Mjelde, H. Hill, A. Love, and A. Potgieter. 2001. Advances in Application of Climate Prediction in Agriculture. Agricultural Systems 70: 515-553.

Hammitt, J. K. 1995. Outcome and Value Uncertainties in Global-Change Policy. Climate Change 30: 125-145.

Hammitt, J. K. 1996. Expected Values of Information and Cooperation for Abating Global Climate Change. In Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations, ed. R. J. Zeckhauser, R. L. Keeney, and J. K. Sebenius:199-218. Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

Hammitt, J. K. and J. L. Adams. 1994. The Value of International Coordination in Abating Climate Change. In Reducing Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Costs and Policy Options, ed. D. Gaskins and J. Weyant, Report 12: Stanford University.

Hammitt, J. K. and J. L. Adams. 1996. The Value of International Cooperation in Abating Global Climate Change. Resource and Energy Economics 18: 219-241.

Harvell, C. D., K. Kim, J. M. Burkholder, R. R. Colwell, P. R. Epstein, J. Grimes, E. E. Hofmann, E. Lipp, R. Osterhaus ADME Overstreet, J. W. Porter, G. W. Smith, and G. Vasta. 1999. Diseases in the Ocean: Emerging Pathogens, Climate Links, and Anthropogenic Factors. Science 285: 1505-1510.

Herrmann, Mark, Keith R. Criddle, Joshua A. Greenberg, and Erika M. Feller. 1996. Estimated Economic Impacts of Potential Policy Changes Affecting the Total Allowable Catch for Alaska Pollack. North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 770-782.

Hersh, Robert and Kris Wernstedt. 2002. Gauging the Vulnerability of Local Water Utilities to Extreme Weather Events. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 45, no. 3: 341-361.

Hill, H. S. J. 1995. Improved Climate Forecast Accuracy: Implications for the Aggregate Sorghum Supply Curve. M.S. Thesis, Texas A&M University.

Hill, H. S. J. 2000. Estimating the Effect of Decision Makers' Responses to Improved Climate Forecasts on International Wheat Trade. Ph.D. Dissertation, A & M University.

Hill, H. S. J., D. B. Butler, S. W. Fuller, G. Hammer, D. Holzworth, H. A. Love, H. Meinke, J. W. Mjelde, J. Park, and W. Rosenthal. 2001. Effects of Seasonal Climate Variability and the Use of Climate Forecasts on Wheat Supply in the United States, Australia, and Canada: 101-123: American Society of Agronomy.

Hill, H. S. J. and J. W. Mjelde. 2002. Challenges and Opportunities Provided by Seasonal Climate Forecasts: A Literature Review. Journal of Agriculture and Applied Economics 34.

Hill, H. S. J., J. Park, J. W. Mjelde, W. Rosenthal, and H. A. Love and S. W. Fuller. 2000. Comparing the Value of Southern Oscillation Index Based Climate Forecast Methods for Canadian and U. S. Wheat Producers. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, February 2000, 261-272.

Hill, S. J. Harvey, J. W. Mjelde, and P. J. Lamb. 1999. The Potential Impacts of the Use of Southern Oscillation Information on the Texas Aggregate Sorghum Production. Journal of Climate, February 1999, 519-530.

Holmes, K. J. and J. H. Ellis. 1996. Potential Environmental Impacts of Future Halocarbon Emissions. Environmental Science and Technology 30, no. 6: 348a - 355a.

Holmes, K. J. and J. H. Ellis. 1997. Simulation of Holocarbon Production and Emissions and Effects on Ozone Depletion. Environmental Management, 1997, 699-685.

Holmes, K. J. and J. H. Ellis. 1998. Magnitude and Distribution of Secondary Benefits from Carbon Dioxide Emissions Stabilization Strategies. The World Resources Review.

Holmes, K. J. and J. H. Ellis. In press. An Integrated Assessment Modeling Framework for Assessing Primary and Secondary Impacts from Carbon Dioxide Stabilization Scenarios. Environmental Modeling and Assessment.

Howe, Chuck and Chris Goemans. 2002. Effectiveness of Water Rate Increases Following Watering Restrictions. Journal American Water Works Association.

Howe, Charles W. and Christopher Goemans. Forthcoming. The Nature and Impacts of Water Transfers in the West: A Comparative Analysis. Journal American Water Resources Association.

Hudson, J. W. 2002. Responses to Climate Variability of the Livestock Sector in the North-West Province, South Africa. M.A. Thesis, Colorado State University.

Hudson, J. W. and C. H. Vogel. In Press. Coping with Droughts: The Use of Seasonal Forecasts Among Livestock Farmers in South Africa. In Coping With Climate Variability: The Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Southern Africa, ed. K. L. O'Brien and C. H. Vogel: Burlington, Ashgate.

Huppert, D., J. H. Kaje, A. F. Hamlet, E. L. Miles, and A. K. Snover. In Review. Using Climate Forecasts in Natural Resource Management. In Rhythms of Change: Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest, ed. Chapter 8 in E. L. Miles, A. K. Snover, and The Climate Impacts Group: CIG Publication.

Izaurralde, R. C., N. J. Rosenberg, R. A. Brown, D. M. Legler, M. Tiscareño López, and R. Srinivasan. 1999. Modeled Effects of Moderate and Strong Los Niños on Crop Productivity in North America. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 94: 259-268.

Jacoby, H. D., J. L. Valverde, and Kaufman. 1998. Sequential Climate Decisions Under Uncertainty: An Integration Framework. Massachusetts: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Jochec, K. G., J. W. Mjelde, A. C. Lee, and J. R. Conner. 2001. Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Rangeland-Based Livestock Operations in West Texas. Journal Applied Meteorology 40: 1629-1639.

Kaje, Janne. 1999. Interdisciplinarity and Integrated Assessment: CIG Publication.

Kane, S. M. and G. W. Yohe, eds. 2001. 2001: Societal Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Kirshen, P.H. and I. Flitcfoft. 2000. Use of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting to Improve Agricultural Production in the Sahel-Soudan - An Institutional Analysis in Burkina Faso.

Lewis, N., M. Hamnett, U. Prasad, L. Tran, and A. Hilton. 1998. Climate ENSO and Health in the Pacific: Research in Progress. Pacific Health Dialog 5, no. 1: 187-190.

Machenzie, F. T., L. M. Ver, and A. Lerman. 1995. Modeling the Behavior of the Biogeochemical Cycles in the Land-coastal Margin System During Global Change. In A paper delivered at the Korea Inter-University Institute of Ocean Science. Pusan, Korea.

Machenzie, F. T., L. M. Ver, and A. Lerman. 1998. Role of the Continental Margin in the Global Carbon Balance During the Past Three Centuries. Geology 26: 423-426.

Mackenzie, F. T., L. M. Ver, and A. Lerman. 1998. Coupled Biogeochemical Cycles of Carbon, Nitrogen, Phosphorus and Sulfur in the Land-Ocean-Atmosphere System. In: Asian Change in the Context of Global Change. Edited by J. N. Galloway and J. M. Melillo: Cambridge University Press.

Magistro, J. and C. Roncoli. 2000. 2001: Anthropological Perspectives and Policy Implications of Climate Change Research. Climate Research 19: 91-96.

Materer, Susan. 2001. The Role of Potato Production in Diversified Household Economic Portfolios: Study of San José Llange, Bolivia. M.Sc. Thesis, University of Missouri.

Materer, S. and C. Valdivia. 2000a. Analysis of a Climatically Variable Production Season. Columbia, Missouri: Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Missouri.

Materer, S. and C. Valdivia. 2000b. Household Production Strategies in a Climate Variable Zone. Columbia, Missouri: Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Missouri.

Materer, S., C. Valdivia, and J. Gilles. 2001. Indigenous Knowledge Systems: Characteristics and Importance to Climate Uncertainty. Columbia, Missouri: Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Missouri.

McKelvey, Robert. 2001. The Split-Stream Harvesting Game I: Mathematical Analysis. Boulder, Colorado: NCAR.

McKelvey, Robert and Greg Cripe. 2001. The Split-Stream Harvesting Game II: Numerical and Simulation Studies. Boulder, Colorado: NCAR.

McKelvey, Robert and Kathleen Miller. 2002. A Stochastic Split-Stream Harvesting Model: Insights on Information and Pacific Salmon War. In International Conference on Risk and Uncertainty in Environmental and Resource Economics. Wageningen, Netherlands.

McKelvey, Robert and Kathleen A. Miller. In Press. The Pacific Salmon Dispute: Rationalizing a Dysfunctional Joint Venture. Sustainability of Salmon Fisheries Binational Perspectives, American Fisheries Society.

Meza, F. J. and D. S. Wilks. 2003. Values of Seasonal Forecasts Based on Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies for Selected Rain-fed Agricultural Regions of Chile. II. Operational Imperfect Forecast Results. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, submitted .

Meza, F. J., D. S. Wilks, and S. J. Riha. 2002. Assessing the Impacts of Climate Variability on Wheat Yields By Using Crop Simulation Models and Weather Generators Conditioned on El Niño Phases. A Case Study for Chile's Agricultural Central Valley. In Third Symposium on Environmental Applications, 140-145: Preprint, American Meteorological Society.

Miles, E. L. 1995. Integrated Assessment of Climate Variability, Impacts and Policy Response in the Pacific Northwest. US Globec News 9: 4-5, 14-15.

Miles, E. L. 2001. Global Climate Change and Marine Policy: Planning for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. In SEAPOL TM-Regional Conference on Ocean Governance and Sustainable Development. Bangkok.

Miles, E. L., N. Mantua, and P. Mote. 1999. ENSO Impacts on the Pacific Northwest: An Integrated Assessment. In Public Program, School of Marine Affairs 25th Anniversary. School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

Miles, E. L. and A. K. Snover. In Review-a. Epilogue. In Rhythms of Change: Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest, ed. E. L. Miles, A. K. Snover, and The Climate Impacts Group: CIG Publication.

Miles, E. L. and A. K. Snover. In Review-b. The Integrated Assessment: The Sensitivity, Adaptation, and Vulnerability of the Pacific Northwest to Climate Variability and Change (Chapter 9). In Rhythms of Change: Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest, ed. E. L. Miles, A. K. Snover, and The Climate Impact Group: CIG Publication.

Miles, E. L., A. K. Snover, A. Hamlet, B. Callahan, and D. L. Fluharty. 2000a. Pacific Northwest Integrated Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change: "The Potential Role of Spatial Comparisons and Synthesis. In Sixteenth Annual Pacific Climate Workshop, ed. G. James West and Lauren Buffaloe (eds): 141-146.

Miles, E. L., A. K. Snover, A. F. Hamlet, B. Callahan, and D. Fluharty. 2000b. Pacific Northwest Regional Assessment: The Impacts of Climate Variablity and Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Columbia River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 36: 399-420.

Miller, Kathleen. 2002. North American Pacific Salmon: A Case of Fragile Cooperation. In Norway-FAO Expert Consultation on the Management of Shared Fish Stocks. Bergen Norway.

Miller, Kathleen. In Press. International Salmon Management: Challenges and Tools. In Atlas of the North Pacific Salmon Ecosystem, ed. Xanthippe Augerot. The Wild Salmon Center, Portland, Oregon.

Miller, Kathleen A. 2000. Pacific Salmon Fisheries: Climate Information and Adaptation in Conflict-Ridden Context. Climate Change 45, no. 1: 37-61.

Miller, K. A., G. Munro, R. McKelvey, and Pl. Tyedmers, eds. 2001a. Climate, Uncertainty and the Pacific Salmon Treaty: Insights on the Harvest Management Game. Edited by Richard S. Johnston and Ann L. Shriver. Microbehavior and Macro results: Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade. Corvallis, Oregon: IIFET.

Miller, Kathleen A., Gordon R. Munro, Ted L. McDorman, Robert McKelvey, and Peter Tyedmers. 2001b. The 1999 Pacific Salmon Agreement: A Sustainable Solution? Orono, ME: Canadian B American Center, University of Maine.

Mjelde, J. W. Value of Improved Information in Agriculture: Weather and Climate Forecasts. In Southern Region Information Exchange Group-10 (SREIG-10) Annual Meeting. Huntsville, Alabama.

Mjelde, J. W. and H. S. J. Hill. 1999. An Analysis of the Impact of Improved Climate Forecasts on Economic and Production Factors. Agricultural Systems, 213-225.

Mjelde, J. W., H. S. J. Hill, and J. Griffith. 1998. A Review of Current Evidence on Climate Forcasts and their Economic Effects in Agriculture: With Emphasis of ENSO. In 1998 American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meetings, August 2-5, 1998, 80:1080-1095. Salt Lake City, Utah: American Journal of Agricultural Economics.

Mjelde, J. W., Harvey S. J. Hill, and John F. Griffiths. 1998. A Review of Current Evidence on Climate Forecasts and their Economic Effects in Agriculture. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 80, no. 5: 1089-1095.

Mjelde, J. W., Jr. J. B. Penson, and C. J. Nixon. 2000. Dynamic Aspects of the Impact of the Use of Improved Climate Forecasts in the Corn Belt Region. Journal of Applied Meteorology 39: 67-79.

Mjelde, J. W. and K. Keplinger. 1997. Using the Southern Oscillation to Forecast Texas Winter Wheat and Sorghum Crop Yields. Journal of Climate 11: 54-60.

Mjelde, J. W., D. S. Peel, S. T. Sonka, and P. J. Lamb. 1993. Characteristics of Climate Forecast Accuracy: Implications for Value to Midwestern Corn Producers. Journal of Climate, November 1993, 2175-2187.

Mjelde, J. W., T. N. Thompson, F. M. Hons, J. T. Cothren, and C. G. Coffman. 1997a. Using Southern Oscillation Forecasts for Determining Corn and Sorghum Profit-Maximizing Levels in Central Texas. Journal of Production Agriculture, January-March 1997, 168-175.

Mjelde, J. W., T. N. Thompson, and C. J. Nixon. 1996. Government Institutional Effects on the Value of Seasonal Climate Forecasts. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78: 175-188.

Mjelde, J. W., T. N. Thompson, C. J. Nixon, and P. J. Lamb. 1997b. 1997: Utilizing a Farm-level Decision Model to Help in Prioritizing Future Prediction Climate Research Needs. Journal of Meteorological Applications 4: 161-170.

Mote, P., D. Canning, D. Fluharty, R. Francis, J. Franklin, A. Hamlet, M. Hershman, M. Holmberg, K. Gray-Ideker, W. S. Keeton, D. Lettenmaier, R. Leung, N. Mantua, E. L. Miles, B. Noble, H. Parandvash, D. W. Peterwon, A. Snover, and S. Willard. 1999. Impacts of Climate Variability and Change in the Pacific Northwest, 110. Seattle, WA: National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration, Office of Global Programs, and JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group.

Munro, Gordon R. and Kathleen A. Miller. 2002. Cooperation and Conflict in the Management of Transboundary Fishery Resources. In Proceedings of the Second World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economics. Monterey, California.

Ning, Y., T. D. Mount, and D. S. Wilks. 2002. Modeling the Effects of Seasonal Forecasts of Temperature on Predictability of Spot Prices in Restructured Electricity Markets. Masters Thesis, Cornell University.

O'Riordan, T., C. Cooper, A. Jordan, S. Rayner, K. Richards, P. Runci, and S. Yoffe. 1998. Institutional Frameworks for Political Action. In Human Choice and Climate Change, ed. S. Rayner and E. L. Malone. Columbus, Ohio: Batelle Press.

Ortloff, C. and A. Kolata. 1996. Agroecological Perspectives on the Decline of the Tiwanaku State - In A. L. Kolata, ed. Tiwanaku and its Hinterland: Archaeology and Paleoecology of an Andean Civilization. Agroecology, 181-201.

Parson, E. A., P. W. Mote, A. F. Hamlet, N. Mantua, A. Snover, W. Keeton, E. L. Miles, D. Canning, and K. G. Ideker. 2000. Potential Consequences of Climate Variations and Change for the Pacific Northwest (Chapter 9). In National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variations and Change. Washington, DC: USGCRP.

Peterson, D. L. and D. L. Schmoldt. 2000. Research and Management Issues In Large-Scale Fire Modeling. In Resource Technology '98 Nordic, ed. H. Salminen, J. Saarikko, and W. Virtanen. Vantaa, Finland: Finnish Forest Research Institute.

Pulwarty, R., K. Broad, and T. Finan. 2003. (Chapter 6) Science, Vulnerability and the Search for Equity: El Niño Events, Forcasts and Decision-Making in Peru and Brazil. In Vulnerability: Disasters, Development and People, ed. G. Bankoff, G. Frerks, and D. Hilhorst. London, United Kingdom: Earthscan Publisher.

Pulwarty, Roger S. and Theodore S. Melis. 2001. Climate Extremes and Adaptive Management on the Colorado River: Lessons From the 1997-1998 ENSO Event. Journal of Environmental Management 63: 307-324.

Rayner, S. 1994. Global Governance: Ethics and Economics of the World Order. In The Centre for the Study of Global Governance, Discussion Paper No. 8, ed. Reprinted in, M. Desai, and P. Redfern. London: London School of Economics.

Roncoli, C. 1999. The Role of Rainfall Forecasting in Agricultural Sustainability (Burkina Faso). In Georgia Agricultural Experiment Station. Griffin, Georgia.

Roncoli, C. 2000a. Reading the Rains, Reducing the Risk Applications of Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts to Improve Agricultural Production in Burkina Faso. In Symposium on Food, Farming, and Forecasts. New York: Institute of African Studies, Columbia University.

Roncoli, C. 2000b. Reconfiguring Rain and Risk: The Role of Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts in Agricultural Decision Making (Burkina Faso). In Society for Applied Anthropology. San Francisco, California.

Roncoli, C. In Preparation-a. The Gender of El Niño: Women's Coping Strategies in Burkina Faso. In Women's Studies Program Lecture Series. University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia.

Roncoli, C. In Preparation-b. Reading Trees, Mapping Skies, Making Gnosis. In American Anthropological Association Annual Meeting. Presented at a panel on Anthropological Perspectives on Climate Change. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Roncoli, Carla, ed. In Preparation-c. Special Issue on Challenges and Contributions of Anthropology to Climate Research. Practicing Anthropology.

Roncoli, C. In Press. A Time Like No Other: Coping with Drought in West Africa. In Society for Applied Anthropology Annual Meeting. Tucson, Arizona: Social Dimensions and Policy Contributions to Climate Change Research.

Roncoli, C., K. Ingram, and P. Kirshen. 2000a. Can Farmers of Burkina Faso Use Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts? Practicing Anthropology, Special Issue of Climate Research 22, no. 4.

Roncoli, C., K. Ingram, and P. Kirshen. 2000b. The Potential Role of Forecast Information in Three Agro-Ecological Zones of Burkina Faso. In PRESAO-03 Forum. Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

Roncoli, C., K. Ingram, and P. Kirshen. 2001. Challenges, Contexts, Constraints, and Costs of Coping with Climate Change in the Sudano-Sahelian Region. Climate Research.

Roncoli, C., K. Ingram, P. Kirshen, and I. Flitcroft. 2000. Opportunities and Constraints to Using Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting to Improve Agricultural Production Systems and Livelihood Security in Sahel-Sudan Region: A Case Study of Bukina Faso, CFAR Phase I. In International Forum on Climate Prediction, Agriculture, and Development. International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, New York.

Schmoldt, D. L. and D. L. Peterson. 2000. Analytical Group Decision Making in Natural Resources: Methodology and Application. Forest Science 46: 62-75.

Scott, M. J. 2001. Economic Impact of Global Climate Pacific Northwest Water and Agriculture-the Beginnings of Integrated Assessment. In Seattle Economists Club.

Scott, Michael J., Lance W. Vail, John A. Jaksch, and Kevin K. Anderson. 2000a. Consideration for Management of Irrigation Water With Climate Variability. In American Geophysical Union. Washington, DC.

Scott, Michael J., Lance W. Vail, John A. Jaksch, Kevin K. Anderson, and Claudio O. Stöckle. 2000b. Climate Forecasts and Water For Regional Irrigated Agriculture. In Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Conference. Bellingham, Washington.

Scott, M. J., L. W. Vail, J. A. Jaksch, K. K. Anderson, and C. O. Stöckle. 2001a. Early Warning of ENSO Events for Regional Agriculture. In Battelle, Pacific Northwest Division. Richland, Washington.

Scott, M. J., L. W. Vail, J. A. Jaksch, and C. O. Stöckle. 2001b. Regional Climate Forecasts and Water Markets in Irrigated Agriculture. In Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Confernce. Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

Scott, M. J., L. W. Vail, J. A. Jaksch, and C. O. Stöckle. 2002a. Integrated Impact of Climate Warming on Yakima Valley Water Demand and Availability. In Research and Extension Regional Water Quality Conference. Vancouver, Washington.

Scott, M. J., L. W. Vail, J. A. Jaksch, C. O. Stöckle, and A. Kemanian. 2001c. Integrated Impact of Climate Warming on Irrigated Crop Production. In American Geophysical Union Annual Fall Meeting. San Francisco, California.

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