Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

What’s the criteria for identifying flash droughts? New study says rapid onset, not short duration 13 December 2017

What’s the criteria for identifying flash droughts? New study says rapid onset, not short duration

“Flash drought” has become a popular term in the media, but the debate of what a flash drought really is has caused confusion that affects scientists’ ability to detect their onset, monitor their development, and understand how they evolve.

New research unlocks the door for better predictability up to 7 months ahead 13 December 2017

New research unlocks the door for better predictability up to 7 months ahead

In many parts of North America, a fluctuating air-pressure pattern that enhances or blocks the storm-steering jet stream, called the Arctic Oscillation (AO), explains more variability in the weather than a primary influencer called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, the AO’s prediction skill has been known to be limited, until now.

NOAA Research grants to tackle changing coastal flooding, marine resources and drought highlighted by Universities across the US 4 December 2017

NOAA Research grants to tackle changing coastal flooding, marine resources and drought highlighted by Universities across the US

Seven leading U.S. academic institutions recently released announcements about their new NOAA Research awards for cutting-edge projects to tackle coastal flooding, changing marine resources and drought. The releases highlight the importance of the federal funding, received from the NOAA Research Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program, for the universities and NOAA’s services advancement, as well as the potential significant societal and economic impacts of their new projects.

Multi-year La Niña presents opportunity to predict drought impacts out to 2 years 16 November 2017

Multi-year La Niña presents opportunity to predict drought impacts out to 2 years

Two new NOAA-funded studies from scientists at The University of Texas at Austin have significantly improved scientists’ ability to predict the strength and duration of droughts caused by La Niña.

Climate Science Special Report (CSSR) features important work of MAPP-funded task force 14 November 2017

Climate Science Special Report (CSSR) features important work of MAPP-funded task force

The first volume of the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report, known as the Climate Science Special Report (CSSR), was released Friday, November 3rd, 2017 by the U.S. Global Change Research Program after years of writing and reviewing by experts from 13 federal agencies and the broader research community.

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Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Emily Read*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: emily.read@noaa.gov

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. In 2011, the United States experienced a record high number (14) of climate- and weather-related disasters where overall costs reached or exceeded $1 billion. Combined, these events claimed 670 lives, caused more than 6,000 injuries, and cost $55 billion in damages. Businesses, policy leaders, resource managers and citizens are increasingly asking for information to help them address such challenges.

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