Earth System Science and Modeling

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CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports a unique and highly flexible climate research enterprise to improve scientific understanding of climate variability and change. The ESSM Division comprises three programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)

ESSM News

New research offers potential to predict atmospheric river activity up to 5 weeks ahead 20 February 2018

New research offers potential to predict atmospheric river activity up to 5 weeks ahead

A new study in the Nature Partner Journal Climate and Atmospheric Science describes a breakthrough in accurately predicting atmospheric river behavior several weeks ahead.

MAPP-Climate Test Bed research successfully transitions towards National Weather Service operations 29 January 2018

MAPP-Climate Test Bed research successfully transitions towards National Weather Service operations

The National Weather Service (NWS) recently reviewed four NOAA Climate Test Bed (CTB) MAPP program projects to evaluate whether or not some of the new research capabilities tested during the projects are ready for operational use. The review revealed that all projects had some modeling methodologies and/or prediction tools ready to be implemented in operations or that have already officially transitioned, according to the NWS reviewers.

Scientists say weak and wobbly polar vortex to blame for cold extremes 3 October 2017

Scientists say weak and wobbly polar vortex to blame for cold extremes

New research, funded by CPO's Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program, shows that the polar vortex has shifted towards more frequent weak states and fewer strong states over the past few decades, with subsequent cold extremes seen during Eurasian winters. 

UPDATE: FY18 MAPP Program competitions deadline postponed 15 September 2017

UPDATE: FY18 MAPP Program competitions deadline postponed

The new deadline for full applications is 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time, September 25, 2017

In view of the disruptions associated with hurricane Irma, the deadline for full applications to all FY18 MAPP Program competitions has been postponed to 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time, September 25, 2017.

CPO highlights 2016 milestones and achievements 16 May 2017

CPO highlights 2016 milestones and achievements

CPO is releasing its 2016 Annual Report, which gives an overview of FY16 achievements and highlights the great work done by CPO Divisions and Programs to advance scientific understanding of climate and improve society's ability to plan and respond.

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Contact the ESSM Division Chief


Chief, Earth System Science and Modeling Division

P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

Management and Program Analyst
P: 301-427-1220
E: darlene.ward@noaa.gov
*Affiliates

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Emily Read*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: emily.read@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

CONTACT US

Climate Program Office
1315 East-West Hwy, Suite 1100
Silver Spring, MD 20910

CPO.webmaster@noaa.gov

ABOUT OUR ORGANIZATION

Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. In 2011, the United States experienced a record high number (14) of climate- and weather-related disasters where overall costs reached or exceeded $1 billion. Combined, these events claimed 670 lives, caused more than 6,000 injuries, and cost $55 billion in damages. Businesses, policy leaders, resource managers and citizens are increasingly asking for information to help them address such challenges.