This is the Winter 2016 edition and the 4th issue of our quarterly newsletter highlighting major papers, events, and press releases related to MAPP-funded work. Highlights include research into drought understanding and prediction over the Central U.S., improving seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity, the completion of the Climate Forecast System Version 2 archive, and an OAR technical report that informs development of next-generation NOAA climate reanalysis. View the newsletter for much more information.
The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on the topic of Frontiers and Challenges of Earth System Modeling on Friday, January 29, 2016. The announcement is provided below. This Webinar was co-sponsored by the U.S. Global Change Research Program Interagency Group on Integrative Modeling.
A new study assesses the evolution of weather and climate conditions and impacts during the 1950s to establish their national and regional decision-making contexts, scientific and technological improvements prior to and during the event that helped mitigate risks, and on and off-farm responses in terms of the socioeconomic impacts.
This series is co-sponsored by the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program (SARP), US National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), Water Research Foundation, Water Environment Federation (WEF), Water Environment Research Foundation (WERF), American Water Works Association (AWWA), the Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies (AMWA) and EPA’s Climate Ready Water Utility Initiative. The next talk is entitled “El Nino – The Science and the Potential Impacts” and will take place on Friday, Feb. 5th from 2-3 PM EST.
A recently published article in the Journal of Physical Oceanography written by Chen et al., and supported by CPO’s Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program, explores remote and local forcing that drives the interannual variability of EIO upwelling by analyzing observations and performing experiments in the HYCOM ocean model.
New research funded by CPO’s MAPP Program focuses on drought in the central U.S./Great Plains region and evaluates why summer droughts occur in the Southern Great Plains during some La Niña years but not in others, and how several drought indicators may promote drought preparedness during future flash drought (droughts that intensify rapidly) events.