Experimental forecast calls for a larger-than-average fire season this summer

CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program is announcing seven new three-year projects for Fiscal Years 2022-2024 that aim to develop new model-based monitoring products addressing key climate impact areas totaling $2.7 million. 

New results from climate models provide evidence that sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropics were key drivers in the rapid decline of Arctic summer sea ice extent in 2012.

 

Starting in 2019, MAPP organized the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) Task Force to coordinate research activities targeted toward the development of climate projections. The CMIP6 Task Force links researchers across 13 funded projects from the FY19 21st Century Integrated U.S. Climate Predictions and Projections funding opportunity, to facilitate communication, coordination, and synthesis of research results.

ENSO is a major source of seasonal predictability and driver of global climate and extreme events. Changes in the seasonal evolution of ENSO during its onset and decay phases have received little attention by the research community. A new study published in Nature Communications aims to better understand these changes and ENSO’s impact.