Earth System Science and Modeling Division

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) Division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts.

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications.

The ESSM Division comprises five programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM), and Earth's Radiation Budget (ERB).

ESSM News

Refining Long-Term Data of Ozone in the Stratosphere Using Observations and Modeling 2 December 2022

Refining Long-Term Data of Ozone in the Stratosphere Using Observations and Modeling

A recent study supported by AC4 uses modeling methods to improve long-term observational records, confirming an understood trend of decreasing ozone in the lower stratosphere and challenging previous work showing a positive trend in the upper stratosphere.

Improved Predictability of Sea Ice Break-Up and Freeze-Up for Arctic Coastal Communities and Ecosystems 2 December 2022

Improved Predictability of Sea Ice Break-Up and Freeze-Up for Arctic Coastal Communities and Ecosystems

A new COM-funded Arctic sea ice study improves predictions of sea ice freeze-up and break-up in coastal regions by identifying local indicators.

Improved Predictability of Air-Sea Interactions between Arctic and Tropical Zones 2 December 2022

Improved Predictability of Air-Sea Interactions between Arctic and Tropical Zones

A research team supported by CVP produces a new modeling study to improve predictability of air-sea interactions of the Meiyu front, a meteorological zone which separates Arctic from tropical climatic zones in the Pacific Ocean.

New Air Quality and Community Health Research Subcommittee (ACRS) Under the OSTP Co-Chaired by CPO’s Monika Kopacz 1 December 2022

New Air Quality and Community Health Research Subcommittee (ACRS) Under the OSTP Co-Chaired by CPO’s Monika Kopacz

The newly approved Air Quality and Community Health Research Subcommittee (ACRS) under the OSTP will be led jointly by NOAA, EPA and NIEHS and co-chaired by CPO’s Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4) Program Manager Monika Kopacz.

Join us at AGU for the NOAA GeoXO Atmospheric Composition Town Hall on Thursday, December 15th! 28 November 2022

Join us at AGU for the NOAA GeoXO Atmospheric Composition Town Hall on Thursday, December 15th!

This AGU 2022 Town Hall session will provide an overview of GeoXO’s recommended AC capabilities and give a status update on the planning process leading up to the expected launch in early 2030s.

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Contacts


Division Chief

P: 301-734-1185
E:

Clara Deck
Communications Specialist
P: (202) 964-1088
E:

Virginia Selz
Program Manager, Climate Observations and Monitoring Program
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)

P: 301-734-1265
E:

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E:

Jose Algarin
CVP Program Specialist
E:

Victoria Breeze
Program Manager
P: (301) 734-1200
E:

Dr. Greg Frost
Acting Program Manager
P: (720) 530-3641
E:

 

Dr. Daniel Barrie
Acting MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1256
E:

David Benson
MAPP Program Analyst
P:
E:

Courtney Byrd
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1257
E:

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E:

Virginia Selz
Federal Liason, CPO
P: (301) 734-1265
E:

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather.