Predictions at the seasonal to sub-seasonal scale are important for planning and decision-making in a variety of disciplines, and improving understanding and model skill at this timescale is a key research priority. An as yet underexplored approach to sub-seasonal prediction using data science and graph theory methods that are increasingly common to other fields outside of meteorology and climate science shows potential to improve predictions at this challenging timescale.
A new paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans explores the ability of 2-dimensional and 3-dimensional storm surge models to simulate current, sediment transport, and the effects of vegetation on storm surge.
If Toto had been a group of climate modelers instead of a band, the song “Africa” might have informed listeners that East Africa has two rainy seasons--long rains from March to May and short rains from October to December.
Research supported by CPO's Climate Variability and Predictability program (CVP) and published in the Journal of Climate tests the wintertime atmospheric response to North Atlantic Ocean circulation variability in CCSM4.
AMOC Mechanisms & Decadal Predictability
Decadal Variability & Predictability
Years of Maritime Continent and PISTON Campaign
Sign up for updates
Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
CVP Program Specialist
Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather.
NOAA Privacy Statement|
Web Accessibility Statement|
Disclaimer for External Links|
U.S. Department of Commerce|