Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

A well-known gap in prediction skill extending from two weeks to several months exists in our climate modeling systems. With the inability of climate models to include all local and mesoscale land and atmospheric processes, reliable subseasonal forecasts and predictions have been difficult to produce.

Heavy and widespread rainfall during landfalling tropical cyclones can cause severe damage, large financial losses, and the loss of life. In 2017 and 2018 alone, U.S. landfalling hurricanes contributed to more than 3,000 deaths and $300 billion in damages.

MAPP's Fall 2019 Newsletter is here! Read up on what's happening in the program this quarter, including research highlights! 

NOAA’s Climate Program Office (CPO), part of NOAA’s Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, is announcing a total of $22.8 million in competitive awards to support 62 new projects. The diverse set of new projects ranges from explaining long-term trends in atmospheric composition to supporting resiliency in fishing communities.

This month, a research team, funded in part by CPO's Climate Observations and Monitoring Program and Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program, published an update to a weather “time machine” they’ve been developing since 2011. This third version of the 20th Century Reanalysis Project, or 20CRv3 for short, is a dauntingly complex, high-resolution, four-dimensional reconstruction of the global climate that estimates what the weather was for every day back to 1836.