Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

ESSM releases Extreme Heat Workshop Report 13 May 2020

ESSM releases Extreme Heat Workshop Report

The report captures two days of plenary presentations as well as small breakout group discussions, and provides recommendations for future research directions for ESSM and partners.

Can We Expect More Extratropical Cyclones in a Warming Climate? 17 April 2020

Can We Expect More Extratropical Cyclones in a Warming Climate?

During this transformation, a cyclone's wind and precipitation area increases in size, and the storm may produce large waves and swell as it accelerates forward, which are important changes to understand and predict for risk assessment

ESSM supports effort to address climate projection uncertainties through large ensembles 7 April 2020

ESSM supports effort to address climate projection uncertainties through large ensembles

Using climate projections to assess climate change risks remains challenging, in part due to the large associated uncertainties, such as those for extreme events.

Is There a Connection Between MJO and Tornadoes in the United States? 2 April 2020

Is There a Connection Between MJO and Tornadoes in the United States?

With the United States experiencing the largest number of annual tornado events of any country, it’s critical for atmospheric studies to continue to enhance tornado outlooks and projections for our country. New research accepted for publication, funded by the MAPP Program, shows that different phases of the Madden-Julian Oscillation’s (MJO) — an eastward moving tropical rainfall pattern — global trek can produce more or less favorable conditions for U.S. tornado activity.

The South Asian Summer Monsoon: What Our Climate Projections Tell Us 23 March 2020

The South Asian Summer Monsoon: What Our Climate Projections Tell Us

A paper just published in Science Advances, funded by the MAPP Program, identified a key climate pattern responsible, in part, for large uncertainties in projections of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM). The SASM is the strongest component of the global monsoon system and contributes about 80% of South Asia’s annual rainfall and provides the water supply for more than a billion people.

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MAPP

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Amara Huddleston*
MAPP Communications & Program Analyst
P: 301-734-1218
E: amara.huddleston@noaa.gov

Courtney Byrd*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: courtney.byrd@noaa.gov

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather.