28 June 2019
Since 2016, the Subseaonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Task Force has been focusing efforts on bridging the skill gap between weather and seasonal prediction lead times. Publication of this special collection represents an important milestone for the group.
27 February 2019
An EOS project update on the MAPP S2S Prediction Task Force has been published. A task force of researchers set out to bridge the gap between the 2-week weather forecast and long-term climate predictions; their findings could help in forecasting the likelihood of extreme events.
27 July 2018
Unusual California Precipitation Over Last Two Winters Could Have Been Predicted
A new study shows that though seasonal forecasts failed to predict the unusual California preciptation during the winters of 2015-16 and 2016-17, forecasts issued a month ahead -- within the subseasonal timescale and much further ahead than a normal weather forecast -- could have accurately predicted the abnormal winter rain.
28 June 2018
A team of scientists found that a strengthened change in ocean temperatures from west to east (or gradient) in the tropical Pacific during the preceding winter is the main driver of more frequent heat waves in Texas.
26 March 2018
Three leaders from the weather and climate research communities share their perspective on how best to address the subseasonal to seasonal prediction challenge in a new open-access paper in Nature Partner Journals – Climate and Atmospheric Science. The authors include Annarita Mariotti, Director of the NOAA MAPP Program, as well as Paolo Ruti and Michel Rixen, who coordinate research for the World Weather Research Program (WWRP) and World Climate Research Program (WCRP), respectively.