Results show that incorporating observations improves the simulation of the drought category, detection of drought conditions, and reduces instances of drought false alarms.

The Drought Task Force’s rapid response will help us understand the ongoing drought’s causes, how our science is helping us understand the drought, to what extent climate change is playing a role, and how the event may evolve.

Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) and Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) funded a recent study which proposes a newly-named global teleconnection linking cooling temperature trends over Eurasia and warming trends in the Arctic to variability in low-frequency tropical sea surface temperatures.

Researchers funded by both the CPO Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program and the Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program rank the performance of over 30 CMIP5/6 climate models in reproducing observed atmosphere-sea ice relationships.