Earth System Science and Modeling

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts.

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications.

The ESSM Division comprises five programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM), and Earth's Radiation Budget (ERB).

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ESSM News

Is Climate Change Increasing Weather Whiplash? 30 November 2021

Is Climate Change Increasing Weather Whiplash?

New research explores long-term changes in short-term climate variability.

The First Mixed Layer Depth Climatology Over the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf 30 November 2021

The First Mixed Layer Depth Climatology Over the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf

This study is the first to construct a detailed description of a specific ocean property—mixed layer depth—and its seasonal cycle for the Northeast U.S. continental shelf. 

State of the Science on Tropical Cyclone Frequency 23 November 2021

State of the Science on Tropical Cyclone Frequency

This new review paper presents the state of the science on tropical cyclone frequency: what we know, what remains to be figured out, and why numerical models are helping us get there.

Declining Methane Emissions But Steady Leakage Rates Observed in Western U.S. 16 November 2021

Declining Methane Emissions But Steady Leakage Rates Observed in Western U.S.

Methane emissions from the region have fallen by half, but analysis of leak rates show that there is still a ways to go in stopping methane leaks, which impact the climate and human health, and can impose costs on Utah’s economy.

Study Shows That Climate Change is the Main Driver of Increasing Fire Weather in the Western United States 12 November 2021

Study Shows That Climate Change is the Main Driver of Increasing Fire Weather in the Western United States

A new study, part of NOAA's Drought Task Force IV research, shows the leading cause of the rapid increase of wildfires over the western U.S. is the rapid increase of surface air vapor pressure deficit.

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Contact the ESSM Division Chief


Division Chief

P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director, on detail to EOP/OSTP
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
Acting MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Courtney Byrd
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1257
E: courtney.byrd@noaa.gov

Wenfei Ni
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 
E: wenfei.ni@noaa.gov

Nicole Rucker
Knauss Fellow

Contact

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov

Jose Algarin
CVP Program Specialist
E: jose.algarin@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Monika Kopacz
AC4 Program Manager
P: (301) 734-1208
E:

Shibajyoti (Shiv) Das
AC4 Program Specialist (UCAR)
E:

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