The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on research on the topic of Harvey and Irma: Attribution, Precipitation, and Flooding on Wednesday, September 27, 2017.
In view of the disruptions associated with hurricane Irma, the deadline for full applications to all FY18 MAPP Program competitions has been postponed to 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time, September 25, 2017.
A special issue on the interagency North American Multi-model Ensemble, a seasonal prediction system combining forecasts from the leading North American climate models, is now available. The papers in this special issue document a variety of different research uses of the NMME system database, which includes a 30-year set of hindcasts as well as real-time forecasts.
Bridging the gap between short-term weather and long-term climate predictions has remained challenging for scientists, but public demand and promising research has focused NOAA's attention on this prediction problem. In an effort to further progress, researchers from universities, NOAA and other labs and centers will meet to highlight recent efforts to develop skillful predictions for the subseasonal to seasonal timescale.
Predicting the weather 3 to 4 weeks from now is extremely challenging, yet many critical decisions affecting communities and economies must be made at this lead time. However, model forecasts available for the first time this week could help NOAA's operational Climate Prediction Center significantly improve its week 3-4 temperature and precipitation outlooks for the U.S.
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