Earth System Science and Modeling

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CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports a unique and highly flexible climate research enterprise to improve scientific understanding of climate variability and change. The ESSM Division comprises three programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)

ESSM News

State-of-the-art seasonal prediction research published in new special collection

  • 8 September 2017
  • Number of views: 57

A special issue on the interagency North American Multi-model Ensemble (NMME) is now available. The NMME is a seasonal prediction system that combines forecasts from the leading North American climate models. More skillful on average than other seasonal forecast systems, it has the dual purpose of providing operational seasonal predictions for NOAA and a unique research platform for predictability and prediction research. The papers in this special issue document a variety of different research uses of the NMME system database, which includes a 30-year set of hindcasts as well as real-time forecasts. Topics include predictability studies, to multi-model prediction evaluation and diagnostics, to emerging applications of climate predictability for subseasonal to seasonal predictions. Currently containing 15 papers, the collection is published in the international journal Climate Dynamics with several more publications expected before the collection is complete.

This special issue is coordinated by Annarita Mariotti (NOAA), Jin Huang (NOAA), Heather Archambault (NOAA), Ben Kirtman (University of Miami), and Gabriele Villarini (University of Iowa).  

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ESSM Division Chief

Dr. Jin Huang
Earth System Science and Modeling Division
P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

N. Darlene Ward*
P: 301-427-1220
E: darlene.ward@noaa.gov


Contact MAPP

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Heather Archambault
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1219
E: heather.archambault@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov


Contact Assessments

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov


Contact CVP

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact AC4

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

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