Earth System Science and Modeling

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system. 

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts. 

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications. 

The ESSM Division comprises four programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), and Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM).


ESS Main Image

ESSM News

Study links ocean temperature contrast to August-October U.S precipitation variability 3 June 2020

Study links ocean temperature contrast to August-October U.S precipitation variability

The findings address an important gap in understanding that could help advance prediction capability for U.S. summer to fall precipitation.

New research highlights important risk of rapid drought to wet period transitions 3 June 2020

New research highlights important risk of rapid drought to wet period transitions

Coincident drought and flooding events can compound to be even more damaging than a drought or flood alone.

Tracking fossil fuel emissions with carbon-14 1 June 2020

Tracking fossil fuel emissions with carbon-14

Researchers, funded in part by CPO's Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, and Climate Program (AC4), have devised a breakthrough method for estimating national emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels using ambient air samples and a well-known isotope of carbon that scientists have relied on for decades to date archaeological sites.

Link between Earth’s heat and hurricane strength grows 20 May 2020

Link between Earth’s heat and hurricane strength grows

Longer period of record reveals increases in storm intensity

Researchers from NOAA and the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, funded by CPO's Climate Observations and Monitoring Program, have greater confidence that warming surface temperatures and increasing tropical cyclone intensity appear to go hand-in-hand.

CPO's Marine Ecosystem Risk Team kicks off partnership with Office of National Marine Sanctuaries 13 May 2020

CPO's Marine Ecosystem Risk Team kicks off partnership with Office of National Marine Sanctuaries

The partnership kicked off this week with the onboarding of a Office of National Marine Sanctuaries-CPO shared position: Climate Coordinator/Visiting Scientist, Dr. Zac Cannizzo.

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Contact the ESSM Division Chief


Chief, Earth System Science and Modeling Division

P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Amara Huddleston*
MAPP Communications & Program Analyst
P: 301-734-1218
E: amara.huddleston@noaa.gov

Courtney Byrd*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: courtney.byrd@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

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