Earth System Science and Modeling

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system. 

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts. 

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications. 

The ESSM Division comprises four programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), and Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM).

 

 

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ESSM News

New research identifies regions with worsening "snow droughts" around the world 3 August 2020

New research identifies regions with worsening "snow droughts" around the world

Western United States snowmelt deficit found to be of increasing intensity and length in recent years

Snow is used by approximately ⅙ of Earth’s population for drinking, agriculture, and hydropower, among other uses. Despite its importance, “snow droughts,” or deficits in snowmelt, which can have serious regional and global consequences, have been fairly unexplored compared to other forms of drought, until now.

Researchers show consistent upper air temperature trends for the first time, improve understanding 30 July 2020

Researchers show consistent upper air temperature trends for the first time, improve understanding

Obtaining consistent results from data records that span multiple types of observing systems has been challenging, limiting our ability to use the observations and realize their full value.

MERT organizes first of series of NOAA Research-Office of National Marine Sanctuaries discussions 29 July 2020

MERT organizes first of series of NOAA Research-Office of National Marine Sanctuaries discussions

These discussions are an early step in achieving the goal of increased connectivity between NOAA Research capabilities and sanctuary climate information needs under CPO's Marine Ecosystems Risk Team (MERT) initiative.

COM Program-funded study helps improve understanding of how climate change may impact ENSO 29 July 2020

COM Program-funded study helps improve understanding of how climate change may impact ENSO

El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-driven variations in sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific play a major role in seasonal rainfall changes in the United States and in driving weather and climate around the world. However, little is known about how ENSO will respond to anthropogenic changes in Earth’s climate.

Study helps bridge gap between temperature response to volcanic eruptions in paleoclimate data and model simulations 22 July 2020

Study helps bridge gap between temperature response to volcanic eruptions in paleoclimate data and model simulations

The discrepancies between simulations and reconstructions obstructs our ability to gain a better understanding of climate from these natural experiments.

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Contact the ESSM Division Chief


Chief, Earth System Science and Modeling Division

P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Amara Huddleston*
MAPP Communications & Program Analyst
P: 301-734-1218
E: amara.huddleston@noaa.gov

Courtney Byrd*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: courtney.byrd@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather.