Earth System Science and Modeling

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system. 

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts. 

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications. 

The ESSM Division comprises four programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), and Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM).


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ESSM News

New model for predicting nitrous oxide emissions from agricultural soils 9 December 2019

New model for predicting nitrous oxide emissions from agricultural soils

Agricultural activities are the main source of nitrous oxide emissions from human activities, but there is limited attention to agriculture as a major contributor to increasing emissions likely from a lack of understanding of mechanisms controlling nitrous oxide emissions.

Warming of the Indo-Pacific Ocean is changing global rainfall patterns 26 November 2019

Warming of the Indo-Pacific Ocean is changing global rainfall patterns

U.S. West and East Coast could see decline in rainfall

New research, funded by CPO's Climate Variability and Predictability Program, shows that warming of the Indo-Pacific Ocean is altering rainfall patterns from the tropics to the United States, contributing to declines in rainfall on the United States west and east coasts.

Understanding the MJO in a Future Warmer Climate 25 November 2019

Understanding the MJO in a Future Warmer Climate

A research team funded in part by CPO's MAPP and CVP Programs investigate the effect of global warming on the MJO. 

Upcoming seminar on major sources of urban emissions along the East Coast 12/4/2019 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM

Upcoming seminar on major sources of urban emissions along the East Coast

On December 4, Colm Sweeney, Aircraft Program lead for the NOAA Global Monitoring Division Carbon Cycle Group and Acting Deputy Director for CPO’s Ocean Observing and Monitoring Division, will present results from an intensive airborne campaign to measure levels of methane, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and ethane emissions from five major cities along the East Coast.

Last Millennium Reanalysis now at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, marking major milestone 8 November 2019

Last Millennium Reanalysis now at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, marking major milestone

This CPO-supported dataset has resulted in new ways in which the community can examine low frequency climate and it is now in a reliable public data repository for years to come.

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Contact the ESSM Division Chief


Chief, Earth System Science and Modeling Division

P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Amara Huddleston*
MAPP Communications & Program Analyst
P: 301-734-1218
E: amara.huddleston@noaa.gov

Courtney Byrd*
MAPP Program Assistant
P: 301-734-1257
E: courtney.byrd@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov

Contact

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

CONTACT US

Climate Program Office
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Silver Spring, MD 20910

ABOUT OUR ORGANIZATION

Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. In 2017, the United States experienced a record-tying 16 climate- and weather-related disasters where overall costs reached or exceeded $1 billion. Combined, these events claimed 362 lives, and had significant economic effects on the areas impacted, costing more than $306 billion. Businesses, policy leaders, resource managers and citizens are increasingly asking for information to help them address such challenges.