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Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

Improving extreme rainfall predictions: the limits of high-resolution climate models

The Climate Program Office supported a new study published in Earth’s Future that advances efforts to improve projections of how extreme rainfall will increase as global temperatures rise. Extreme rainfall events have significant environmental and societal impacts such as floods or water shortages. The general circulation models scientists use to predict extreme rainfall trends typically […]

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Image of dried up, drought-stricken lake in California.

Biden-harris administration awards $4.9 to advance drought monitoring and prediction in u.s. west through the investing in america agenda

Today, the NOAA announced $4.9 million in funding for the agency’s labs and research partners to improve drought monitoring and prediction in the American West.  This research combines $3.1 million in funding from NOAA’s National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) program and $1.8 million from the Inflation Reduction Act to improve decision-makers’ capacity to protect life, property and ecosystems

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Drivers and improved predictability of sea level rise along the U.S. Southeast Coast

Climate modelers used the rapid acceleration of sea level rise along the U.S. Southeast Coast since 2010 as a case study to investigate drivers and predictability of sea level rise in the region. Findings suggest the rate of sea level rise along the U.S. southeastern seaboard is potentially predictable up to 5 years in advance.

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dry, cracked earth

Changing climate trends make assessing and predicting drought more complex

Analysis of the United States Drought Monitor shows it increasingly underestimates the frequency and severity of drought conditions, especially in the American West, suggesting that its drought classification thresholds may no longer align with the current, changing climate realities.

Changing climate trends make assessing and predicting drought more complex Read More »

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