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Persistent Extreme Weather Events in Asia Expected to Increase Due to Arctic Warming


New research, funded in part by CPO’s Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) Program, links rapid Arctic warming to an increased likelihood of extreme weather events in Asia’s mid-latitudes. Their study, published in Nature, tracked the consecutive days that the atmosphere resides in a particular pattern associated with extreme temperatures and precipitation and found that these patterns are occurring more often as the Arctic warms faster than the mid-latitudes. The more often these patterns occur, the higher the likelihood of long-duration weather events. The authors also used climate models to project their analysis into the future under business-as-usual greenhouse gas conditions and found that the frequency of long-duration events will substantially increase under a warming Arctic.   

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