Improving Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity

Tropical cyclones are one of the biggest natural threats to society, causing substantial economic damage and loss of life annually. Accurate and reliable seasonal predictions of tropical cyclone activity are essential for disaster preparedness, but remain challenging for climate scientists. In a new MAPP-supported study, Manganello et al.
indicates that the potential for high-resolution coupled (atmosphere-ocean) modeling to improve seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity may be greater than previously believed.