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Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP)

Stochastic forcing of north tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures by the NAO

Research funded by CPO’s Climate Variability and Predictability program has been accepted for publication into Geophysical Research Letters. The paper, titled: “Stochastic forcing of north tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures by the North Atlantic Oscillation,” showed that NAO-generated forcing of SST during boreal winter and spring is responsible for more than half the statistically unpredictable component of SST in the main development region for Atlantic hurricanes during the subsequent summer and fall. 

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Madden-Julian Oscillation – Bridging Weather and Climate

A paper funded by the Climate Program Office’s MAPP and ESS programs was published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) in December.  The paper – titled “Madden-Julian Oscillation – Bridging  Weather and Climate” – shows that the MJO, which sits in a time frame between weather (less than 10 days) and climate (90 days and longer), can affect both weather and climate and plays a critical role in connecting or bridging the two.

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