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Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM)

Seismic sensors record hurricane intensity, study finds

A new study has found that seemingly trivial vibrations in the earth’s surface can actually encode the power of hurricanes moving over ocean waters. The findings may make it possible to estimate the strength of past hurricanes, to reveal long term changes in the severity and frequency of these storms, and help scientists understand potential future changes.

Seismic sensors record hurricane intensity, study finds Read More »

What’s the criteria for identifying flash droughts? New study says rapid onset, not short duration

“Flash drought” has become a popular term in the media, but the debate of what a flash drought really is has caused confusion that affects scientists’ ability to detect their onset, monitor their development, and understand how they evolve.

What’s the criteria for identifying flash droughts? New study says rapid onset, not short duration Read More »

New research unlocks the door for better predictability up to 7 months ahead

In many parts of North America, a fluctuating air-pressure pattern that enhances or blocks the storm-steering jet stream, called the Arctic Oscillation (AO), explains more variability in the weather than a primary influencer called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, the AO’s prediction skill has been known to be limited, until now.

New research unlocks the door for better predictability up to 7 months ahead Read More »

NOAA Research grants to tackle changing coastal flooding, marine resources and drought highlighted by Universities across the US

Seven leading U.S. academic institutions recently released announcements about their new NOAA Research awards for cutting-edge projects to tackle coastal flooding, changing marine resources and drought. The releases highlight the importance of the federal funding, received from the NOAA Research Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program, for the universities and NOAA’s services advancement, as well as the potential significant societal and economic impacts of their new projects.

NOAA Research grants to tackle changing coastal flooding, marine resources and drought highlighted by Universities across the US Read More »

Climate Science Special Report (CSSR) features important work of MAPP-funded task force

The first volume of the Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report, known as the Climate Science Special Report (CSSR), was released Friday, November 3rd, 2017 by the U.S. Global Change Research Program after years of writing and reviewing by experts from 13 federal agencies and the broader research community.

Climate Science Special Report (CSSR) features important work of MAPP-funded task force Read More »

New research finds extreme thunderstorms could increase with warming temperatures in tropics and subtropics

Some of the world’s most intense thunderstorms, associated with destructive impacts like high winds, large hail, and flash floods, occur in the tropical and subtropical regions, including parts of the southern U.S. However, scientists have been uncertain about how such storms will respond in the context of warming temperatures.

New research finds extreme thunderstorms could increase with warming temperatures in tropics and subtropics Read More »

NOAA and partners release database for research to bridge weather to climate forecast gap

Two new datasets, funded in part by NOAA Research’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program, now provide easy public access to 60 terabytes of climate forecasts containing predictions of rainfall, temperature, winds and other variables at the subseasonal level (two weeks to two months ahead).

NOAA and partners release database for research to bridge weather to climate forecast gap Read More »

Scientists say weak and wobbly polar vortex to blame for cold extremes

New research, funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program, shows that the polar vortex has shifted towards more frequent weak states and fewer strong states over the past few decades, with subsequent cold extremes seen during Eurasian winters. 

Scientists say weak and wobbly polar vortex to blame for cold extremes Read More »

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