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Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

Novel data science approaches could drive advances in seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of precipitation

Predictions at the seasonal to sub-seasonal scale are important for planning and decision-making in a variety of disciplines, and improving understanding and model skill at this timescale is a key research priority. An as yet underexplored approach to sub-seasonal prediction using data science and graph theory methods that are increasingly common to other fields outside of meteorology and climate science shows potential to improve predictions at this challenging timescale.

Novel data science approaches could drive advances in seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of precipitation Read More »

MAPP Webinar Series: Transitioning Prediction and Social Science Research into NOAA Operations

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on the topic of Transitioning Prediction and Social Science Research into NOAA Operations on Monday, October 19, 2015. The announcement is provided below. This Webinar was co-sponsored by the OAR Office of Weather and Air Quality and the NWS Office of Science and Technology Integration.

MAPP Webinar Series: Transitioning Prediction and Social Science Research into NOAA Operations Read More »

New MAPP-funded research assesses how changes in the tropical belt affect climate variability

New research funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program resulted in a paper titled “Southward Shift of the Northern Tropical Belt from 1945 to 1980,” recently published in Nature Geoscience.

New MAPP-funded research assesses how changes in the tropical belt affect climate variability Read More »

Science needs for sea level adaptation planning

A new paper by Lindeman et. al—supported by the Climate Program Office—performed a synthesis of science needs from coastal communities by reporting on workshops held in Florida, North Carolina, and Massachusetts. The paper, “Science Needs for Sea-Level Adaptation Planning: Comparisons among Three U.S. Atlantic Coastal Regions,” was published online in the journal of Coastal Management on October 14, 2015.

Science needs for sea level adaptation planning Read More »

Comparing Two Generations of Climate Model Simulations and Projections of Regional Climate Processes for North America

A technical report produced by the NOAA CMIP5 Task Force analyzes how CMIP5–the latest generation of climate model simulations–compares to CMIP3 simulations and projections of regional climate processes for North America.

Comparing Two Generations of Climate Model Simulations and Projections of Regional Climate Processes for North America Read More »

Advancing the North American Multi­-Model Ensemble Seasonal Prediction Capability

NOAA’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program has competitively chosen nine new one-year projects involving $545,427 in grants and $82,000 in other awards (for a total of $627,427) to evaluate and develop new applications for the North American Multi-Model Ensemble System (NMME), a state-of-the-art multi­-model seasonal prediction system currently in the process of transitioning to National Weather Service operations.

Advancing the North American Multi­-Model Ensemble Seasonal Prediction Capability Read More »

Advancing next-generation climate and Earth system models through process-oriented metrics

NOAA’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program has competitively chosen nine new three-year projects involving $3.9 million in grants and $900 thousand in other awards for a total of $4.8 million to develop process-oriented metrics for climate and Earth system model development.

Advancing next-generation climate and Earth system models through process-oriented metrics Read More »

Advancing a common software infrastructure for NOAA weather and climate models for more efficient modeling

NOAA’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program competitively selected a new 3-year project involving $2.8 million in grants and $249,728 in other awards (for a total of $3 million) to help advance common software modeling and data infrastructure for NOAA’s global models for weather and climate prediction, ultimately resulting in more efficient model development and use of model data.

Advancing a common software infrastructure for NOAA weather and climate models for more efficient modeling Read More »

Advancing next-generation climate and Earth system models through process-oriented metrics

NOAA’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program has competitively chosen nine new three-year projects involving $3.9 million in grants and $900 thousand in other awards for a total of $4.8 million to develop process-oriented metrics for climate and Earth system model development.

Advancing next-generation climate and Earth system models through process-oriented metrics Read More »

Study Finds New York City at Increased Threat of Tropical Cyclones and Coastal Flooding

A cross CPO-funded study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences presents evidence of a dramatic increase in the frequency of large flooding events in New York City due to sea level rise and the size and intensity of tropical storms.

Study Finds New York City at Increased Threat of Tropical Cyclones and Coastal Flooding Read More »

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