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modeling

African air quality: framework for a proactive observing and modeling strategy

The public health threat of air pollution in Africa, which already results in 1.1 million premature deaths annually, is expected to intensify under rapid urbanization and population growth. To develop strategies for improving air quality monitoring and research in East Africa, scientists from around the world convened for workshops virtually in 2021 and in-person in […]

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Improving extreme rainfall predictions: the limits of high-resolution climate models

The Climate Program Office supported a new study published in Earth’s Future that advances efforts to improve projections of how extreme rainfall will increase as global temperatures rise. Extreme rainfall events have significant environmental and societal impacts such as floods or water shortages. The general circulation models scientists use to predict extreme rainfall trends typically

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New discovery in atmospheric chemistry helps predict methane’s role in climate change

In a study published in Science, scientists describe a newly discovered reaction that improves modeling of methane in the atmosphere. Modeling methane’s atmospheric lifetime is important to understanding how the potent greenhouse gas contributes to climate change. To date, models consistently overestimate the amount of hydroxyl radicals (OH), the molecules responsible for breaking down methane,

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NOAA Sea Ice Modeling Collaboration Workshop Report Defines Priorities and Key Collaborations 

A report has just been published detailing the accomplishments of the NOAA Sea Ice Modeling Collaboration Workshop, held at the University of Colorado, Boulder in April 2023. The Sea Ice Modeling Collaboration Team organized this workshop, a group dedicated to advancing cross-OAR and NOAA-wide sea ice modeling activities that is sponsored by CPO’s Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM) and Climate

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Investigating the role of Sea-Surface Salinity (SSS) in simulating historical AMOC decadal variation

This new study aims to advance decadal prediction models by exploring regionally-dependent coupled sea-surface dynamics at work in the Atlantic and Pacific in initialized prediction ensembles.

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