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Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP)

Research Highlights Role of Coastal Ocean in Influencing Atmospheric River Intensity

NOAA buoy observations collectively enabled a systemic synoptic-scale analysis of a 39-year record of atmospheric rivers, offering a unique view of coastal air-sea processes at the time of atmospheric river landfall.

Research Highlights Role of Coastal Ocean in Influencing Atmospheric River Intensity Read More »

New Study Reveals Interdecadal Intensity Peaks in the Madden–Julian Oscillation

New research uses reanalysis datasets (including one from NOAA) to show how the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) exhibits 12- to 20-year periods around peak intensity and theorizes on the physical mechanisms responsible. 

New Study Reveals Interdecadal Intensity Peaks in the Madden–Julian Oscillation Read More »

Paleo-Climate Datasets Reveal a Tropically-driven Global Teleconnection

Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) and Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) funded a recent study which proposes a newly-named global teleconnection linking cooling temperature trends over Eurasia and warming trends in the Arctic to variability in low-frequency tropical sea surface temperatures.

Paleo-Climate Datasets Reveal a Tropically-driven Global Teleconnection Read More »

Investigating the Complex Science of Transport in Large-scale Ocean Currents

In representing the transport of ocean properties such as heat or salinity, the smaller, more complex details may matter significantly according to researchers funded in part by the Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program. 

Investigating the Complex Science of Transport in Large-scale Ocean Currents Read More »

Ranking the Performance of Climate Models for Summertime Sea Ice Simulation

Researchers funded by both the CPO Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program and the Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program rank the performance of over 30 CMIP5/6 climate models in reproducing observed atmosphere-sea ice relationships.

Ranking the Performance of Climate Models for Summertime Sea Ice Simulation Read More »

New Framework for Understanding Precipitation in CMIP6 Climate Model Simulations

In order to pinpoint the origins of precipitation biases in the most recent version of global climate models a team of researchers funded in part by CPO’s Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program developed a new framework to study the moisture budgets of the newest generation of global climate model simulations. 

New Framework for Understanding Precipitation in CMIP6 Climate Model Simulations Read More »

How the Annual Wet/Dry Cycle Influences Daily Rainfall in the Maritime Continent

New study by researchers supported by CPO’s Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program investigates how the wet and dry seasons of the Maritime Continent impact daily precipitation cycles in the region. 

How the Annual Wet/Dry Cycle Influences Daily Rainfall in the Maritime Continent Read More »

Reducing Temperature Biases in Tropical Ocean Models

This work, funded by CPO’s Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) program as part of NOAA’s contributions to the Tropical Pacific Observing System (TPOS) process studies, demonstrates how increasing the vertical resolution of ocean models can reduce commonly observed biases in the two regions.

Reducing Temperature Biases in Tropical Ocean Models Read More »

Uncovering the Links between Surfactants, Sea Spray, and Tropical Cyclone Intensification

This study, supported by Climate Variability & Predictability, is the first to study how surfactants impact sea spray in regards to cylcones, the understanding of which could help improve model microphysics, leading to better forecasts that are more likely to capture rapid intensification of cyclones.

Uncovering the Links between Surfactants, Sea Spray, and Tropical Cyclone Intensification Read More »

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