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Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM)

Ocean heatwaves dramatically shift habitats

Marine heatwaves across the world’s oceans can displace habitat for sea turtles, whales, and other marine life by 10s to thousands of kilometers. They dramatically shift these animals’ preferred temperatures in a fraction of the time that climate change is expected to do the same, new research funded by NOAA’s Climate Program Office shows.

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Study introduces new model processing technique, shows North Atlantic climate highly predictable

Climate model projections can be hindered by complexities inherent in the climate system, and difficulty in detecting the part of the forecast that can be accurately predicted (signals) as well as constraining uncertainties (noise). These problems can be hard to fix, as climate model projections cannot be verified until there are observations.

Study introduces new model processing technique, shows North Atlantic climate highly predictable Read More »

New research identifies regions with worsening “snow droughts” around the world

Snow is used by approximately ⅙ of Earth’s population for drinking, agriculture, and hydropower, among other uses. Despite its importance, “snow droughts,” or deficits in snowmelt, which can have serious regional and global consequences, have been fairly unexplored compared to other forms of drought, until now.

New research identifies regions with worsening “snow droughts” around the world Read More »

Researchers show consistent upper air temperature trends for the first time, improve understanding

Obtaining consistent results from data records that span multiple types of observing systems has been challenging, limiting our ability to use the observations and realize their full value.

Researchers show consistent upper air temperature trends for the first time, improve understanding Read More »

COM Program-funded study helps improve understanding of how climate change may impact ENSO

El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-driven variations in sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific play a major role in seasonal rainfall changes in the United States and in driving weather and climate around the world. However, little is known about how ENSO will respond to anthropogenic changes in Earth’s climate.

COM Program-funded study helps improve understanding of how climate change may impact ENSO Read More »

Study helps bridge gap between temperature response to volcanic eruptions in paleoclimate data and model simulations

The discrepancies between simulations and reconstructions obstructs our ability to gain a better understanding of climate from these natural experiments.

Study helps bridge gap between temperature response to volcanic eruptions in paleoclimate data and model simulations Read More »

No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium

In a recent paper published in Science, authors analyze new paleoclimate data in the form of coral samples from the Tropical Pacific. These include a consistent proxy record for variables such as sea surface temperature.

No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium Read More »

New research examines changes in stratospheric circulation pattern over past four decades

The study highlights scientists’ ability to indirectly measure large scale global processes through observation platforms that confirm models and shows how anthropogenic effects (e.g. greenhouse gases and ozone) interact to impact large scale global circulation systems.

New research examines changes in stratospheric circulation pattern over past four decades Read More »

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