Advancing scientific understanding of climate, improving society’s ability to plan and respond
Advancing scientific understanding of climate, improving society’s ability to plan and respond
A new report from the NOAA Drought Task Force, “Research to Advance National Drought Monitoring and Prediction Capabilities,” highlights the crucial role NOAA research plays in advancing our ability to prepare for and react to drought.
This is the Winter 2016 edition and the 4th issue of our quarterly newsletter highlighting major papers, events, and press releases related to MAPP-funded work. Highlights include research into drought understanding and prediction over the Central U.S., improving seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity, the completion of the Climate Forecast System Version 2 archive, and an OAR technical report that informs development of next-generation NOAA climate reanalysis. View the newsletter for much more information.
MAPP Newsletter: Winter 2016 Issue Read More »
The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on the topic of Frontiers and Challenges of Earth System Modeling on Friday, January 29, 2016. The announcement is provided below. This Webinar was co-sponsored by the U.S. Global Change Research Program Interagency Group on Integrative Modeling.
MAPP Webinar Series: Frontiers and Challenges of Earth System Modeling Read More »
A new OAR/Climate Program Office (CPO) Report, summarizing key outcomes of the May 2015 NOAA Climate Reanalysis Task Force Technical Workshop held at the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction in College Park, Maryland, has just been published.
New research funded by CPO’s MAPP Program focuses on drought in the central U.S./Great Plains region and evaluates why summer droughts occur in the Southern Great Plains during some La Niña years but not in others, and how several drought indicators may promote drought preparedness during future flash drought (droughts that intensify rapidly) events.
Reanalysis and reforecast data from NOAA’s premiere forecast system are now fully available for the public’s use.
Completion of Climate Forecast System Version 2 Archive Read More »
Tropical cyclones are one of the biggest natural threats to society, causing substantial economic damage and loss of life annually. Accurate and reliable seasonal predictions of tropical cyclone activity are essential for disaster preparedness, but remain challenging for climate scientists. In a new MAPP-supported study, Manganello et al.
indicates that the potential for high-resolution coupled (atmosphere-ocean) modeling to improve seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity may be greater than previously believed.
Improving Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity Read More »
New research funded by the Climate Program Office’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program indicates that the potential for high-resolution coupled (atmosphere-ocean) modeling to improve seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity may be greater than previously believed.
A study by Gregory Carbin (NOAA Storm Prediction Center), Michael Tippett (Columbia University), Samuel Lillo (University of Oklahoma), and Harold Brooks (NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory), funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program, introduces two new approaches for producing long-range severe thunderstorm predictions.
Two new approaches to extended-range severe thunderstorm forecasts from CFSv2 Read More »
Research supported by CPO’s MAPP and CVP programs evaluated the influence of the feedback mechanism between sea-level fall and ice sheets on future AIS retreat on centennial and millennial timescales for different emission scenarios, using a coupled ice sheet-sea-level model.