Advancing scientific understanding of climate, improving society’s ability to plan and respond
Advancing scientific understanding of climate, improving society’s ability to plan and respond
The extended nonlinear recharge oscillator (XRO) model integrates core ENSO dynamics with other climate modes to offer improved ENSO forecasts up to 18 months in advance.
New model enhances El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasting Read More »
A new MAPP-funded study uses a novel deep learning technique to predict ENSO events at 85% accuracy up to a year and a half in advance, helping us better prepare for extreme weather events.
Deep Learning Techniques Succeed in Improving ENSO Forecasting Read More »
Recent modeling study supported by CVP uses an energy flux focus to better understand remote influences on tropical precipitation predictions through 2100.
Using Energy Driven Models to Predict Tropical Rainfall Read More »
A new modeling study funded by CVP shows that tropical Pacific climate predictions from the annual to decadal scales are more strongly linked to internal climate signals than volcanic activity when eruptions are occurring.
Evaluating the Impact of Volcanic Eruptions in Tropical Pacific Climate Models Read More »
A new modeling study supported by CVP sheds light on the solar, orbital, and meteorological drivers of variability in the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
This new CVP-funded study examines atmosphere–ocean coupled models to understand the limits of seasonal prediction for CA winter precipitation.
Why Seasonal Prediction of California Winter Precipitation Is Challenging Read More »
Modeling study funded by CVP evaluates and identifies a more accurate method to simulate atmospheric rivers and their relationships to climate variability, enabling improved predictability of related extreme precipitation events.
CVP-supported study uses linear inverse modeling to improve understanding of interactions between the Pacific ocean with other ocean basins related to ENSO variability.
New Modeling Study Demonstrates Importance of ENSO Influence in Multiple Ocean Basins Read More »
ENSO is a major source of seasonal predictability and driver of global climate and extreme events. Changes in the seasonal evolution of ENSO during its onset and decay phases have received little attention by the research community. A new study published in Nature Communications aims to better understand these changes and ENSO’s impact.
How Will a Warming World Impact El Niño? Read More »
This study uses a novel approach to further explore the dynamic impacts of volcanism on ENSO.