Using Energy Driven Models to Predict Tropical Rainfall
Recent modeling study supported by CVP uses an energy flux focus to better understand remote influences on tropical precipitation predictions through 2100.
ENSO
Evaluating the Impact of Volcanic Eruptions in Tropical Pacific Climate Models
A new modeling study funded by CVP shows that tropical Pacific climate predictions from the annual to decadal scales are more strongly linked to internal climate signals than volcanic activity when eruptions are occurring.
Adjusting Climate Models to Illuminate Key Processes Driving the Madden-Julian Oscillation
A new modeling study supported by CVP sheds light on the solar, orbital, and meteorological drivers of variability in the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
Why Seasonal Prediction of California Winter Precipitation Is Challenging
This new CVP-funded study examines atmosphere–ocean coupled models to understand the limits of seasonal prediction for CA winter precipitation.
Improved Simulations of Atmospheric River Climatology and Variability in High-Resolution CESM
Modeling study funded by CVP evaluates and identifies a more accurate method to simulate atmospheric rivers and their relationships to climate variability, enabling improved predictability of related extreme precipitation events.
New Modeling Study Demonstrates Importance of ENSO Influence in Multiple Ocean Basins
CVP-supported study uses linear inverse modeling to improve understanding of interactions between the Pacific ocean with other ocean basins related to ENSO variability.
How Will a Warming World Impact El Niño?
ENSO is a major source of seasonal predictability and driver of global climate and extreme events. Changes in the seasonal evolution of ENSO during its onset and decay phases have received little attention by the research community. A new study published in Nature Communications aims to better understand these changes and ENSO’s impact.
COM-funded research utilizes a new data assimilation tool to explore the relationship between ENSO dynamics and volcanic events
This study uses a novel approach to further explore the dynamic impacts of volcanism on ENSO.
El Niño driven fires affect the natural emission of an ozone depleting trace gas
New study highlights the causes of a large interannual variability in the natural emission of methyl bromide.
Climate.gov materials will support NWS/CPC spring outlook
These high-quality maps and graphics will help promote public climate literacy and establish NOAA as an authoritative source of climate information.