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Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

Different forces drive storm-induced sea level spikes on U.S. East, Gulf coasts, says CPO-funded study

Using a new powerful NOAA global climate model, NOAA and partner researchers show that big spikes in daily coastal sea levels will increase in the future from the Gulf Coast to the Atlantic coast as warming progresses, but will be driven by differing forces in these two regions.

Different forces drive storm-induced sea level spikes on U.S. East, Gulf coasts, says CPO-funded study Read More »

Record Breaking High Sea Levels in Hawaii Linked To El Niño?

Following the strong El Niño in 2015, Hawaii experienced record breaking high sea levels in 2017. Impacts of high sea levels include beach erosion, inundation, and failed drainage infrastructure due to saltwater blockage. The processes associated with the Hawaii sea level rise after an El Niño event have so far remained unknown.

Record Breaking High Sea Levels in Hawaii Linked To El Niño? Read More »

Bridging the Weather-Climate Prediction Skill Gap with a Multi-Model Experiment

Researchers have for years been working to tackle the subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction problem to improve forecasts. The Subseasonal Experiment, SubX, is an interagency research-to-operations project designed to help tackle this problem. The results of the project were recently published in BAMS. 

Bridging the Weather-Climate Prediction Skill Gap with a Multi-Model Experiment Read More »

Reforecasting Warm-Season Precipitation in the United States Great Plains and Midwest

Warm-season precipitation in the United States “Corn belt,” Great Plains and Midwest, greatly influence agricultural production and is subject to seasonal variability. Warm-season precipitation in the United States “Corn belt,” Great Plains and Midwest, greatly influence agricultural production and is subject to seasonal variability. Current seasonal to subseasonal forecasts for warm-precipitation have relatively low skill.

Reforecasting Warm-Season Precipitation in the United States Great Plains and Midwest Read More »

The Subseasonal eXperiment: A Major Coordinated Effort to Attack the Subseasonal Prediction Problem and Advance Operations and Research hand-in-hand

A well-known gap in prediction skill extending from two weeks to several months exists in our climate modeling systems. With the inability of climate models to include all local and mesoscale land and atmospheric processes, reliable subseasonal forecasts and predictions have been difficult to produce.

The Subseasonal eXperiment: A Major Coordinated Effort to Attack the Subseasonal Prediction Problem and Advance Operations and Research hand-in-hand Read More »

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