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Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP)

New workshop report: high resolution modeling has potential to improve climate predictions but more experimentation is needed

A new report summarizes key findings from the joint NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) high resolution modeling workshop held at the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction in College Park, Maryland on September 30th through October 2nd. Overall, the workshop report states that there have been some promising efforts in the climate predictions (weeks to seasons) and long-term projections communities to explore using high resolution to improve climate models and prediction.

New workshop report: high resolution modeling has potential to improve climate predictions but more experimentation is needed Read More »

Extreme tornado outbreaks have increased in frequency, says new research in Nature Communications

A new study in Nature Communications, funded by the CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program, evaluates how the average annual number of tornadoes per outbreak and spread in the data has changed over time.

Extreme tornado outbreaks have increased in frequency, says new research in Nature Communications Read More »

Global Sea Level Rise in the 20th Century was faster than the past 27 centuries, says a joint report

The 20th century saw the fastest rise in global sea level (GSL) in 27 centuries, according to a new report supported by NOAA. Partners from Rutgers’ University, Tufts’ University, NOAA, and other researchers foreign and domestic utilized new statistical modeling techniques that permitted observation of GSL rise and projections for GSL in the 21st century. Previous statistical modeling could only focus at the regional and local levels.
 

Global Sea Level Rise in the 20th Century was faster than the past 27 centuries, says a joint report Read More »

Will climate change increase summertime temperature variability and heat waves by 2100? A new CPO-funded study has the answer

A new study by Haiyan Teng (National Center for Atmospheric Research; NCAR) and other NCAR researchers, funded by the Climate Program Office’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program, evaluated by how much and why the variability of within-season summer surface air temperature will increase by the end of the 21st century.

Will climate change increase summertime temperature variability and heat waves by 2100? A new CPO-funded study has the answer Read More »

NOAA’s Climate Program Office helped convene workshop to select sea ice model for NOAA’s Next Generation Global Prediction System

The NOAA Climate Program Office Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) Program co-sponsored and co-organized the recent Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Community Sea Ice Model Recommendation Workshop in Boulder, Colorado on February 3rd through 4th. The overall goal of the workshop was to advance NOAA sea ice forecasting on weather to seasonal timescales.

NOAA’s Climate Program Office helped convene workshop to select sea ice model for NOAA’s Next Generation Global Prediction System Read More »

A review of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: observations, inferences, and mechanisms

A recently published and thorough review of the current state of scientific knowledge regarding the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been published in Reviews of Geophysics.This effort was supported by CPO’s Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) and Modeling, Analysis, Prediction, and Projections (MAPP) programs. 

A review of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: observations, inferences, and mechanisms Read More »

MAPP Webinar Series: Persistent Flow Regimes and Extremes

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on the topic of Persistent Flow Regimes and Extremes on Friday, February 19, 2016. The announcement is provided below. This Webinar was co-sponsored by the Office of Weather and Air Quality and the National Earth System Prediction Capability.

MAPP Webinar Series: Persistent Flow Regimes and Extremes Read More »

What can drought-stricken California expect from the El Niño winter forecast?

A subgroup of the NOAA Drought Task Force recently released a science assessment looking at the relationship between El Niño and the California drought, a discussion that is pertinent within the context of the strong 2015/2016 El Niño event.

What can drought-stricken California expect from the El Niño winter forecast? Read More »

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